Illinois
W-L: (21-12) PR = 96.7036Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 91-67 1109 A Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 75-65 1114 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 59-64 1118 A Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 84-64 1123 A Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 86-63 1126 A We Kentucky CUSA ( 8-21, 92.8) 70-41 1202 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 90-41 1206 A Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 78-57 1210 A Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 70-62 1214 A No Texas AME (18-14, 94.6) 81-69 1219 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 86-43 1228 A Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 83-73 101 A Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 73-70 104 H Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 75-81 107 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 69-78 111 A Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 92-76 115 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 69-85 118 A Northwestern B10 ( 8-21, 94.7) 74-71 124 H Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 75-81 128 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 67-80 201 A Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 75-66 204 H Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 73-76 208 H USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 62-70 211 A Wisconsin B10 (16-17, 95.6) 92-60 217 A Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 76-56 222 A Northwestern B10 ( 8-21, 94.7) 92-65 226 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 78-82 301 H Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 73-78 304 A Wisconsin B10 (16-17, 95.6) 82-70 305 A Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 71-69 306 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 58-64 321 A Colorado B12 (23-12, 96.4) 66-57 323 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 57-75
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A SE MO St 91-67 24 3 0.00
1109 A Illinois St 75-65 10 2 0.00
1114 H Oregon State 59-64 -5 1 - -3.42
1118 A Murray St 84-64 20 1 0.98
1123 A Florida St 86-63 23 2 0.13
1126 A We Kentucky 70-41 29 4 0.00
1202 A Bellarmine 90-41 49 6 0.00
1206 A Indiana 78-57 21 1 1.39
1210 A Missouri 70-62 8 1 0.93
1214 A No Texas 81-69 12 2 0.00
1219 A Jackson St 86-43 43 5 0.00
1228 A Purdue 83-73 10 1 0.86
101 A Maryland 73-70 3 -1 + 2.53
104 H Michigan St 75-81 -6 0 -1.52
107 H Ohio St 69-78 -9 -1 -0.79
111 A Penn St 92-76 16 1 0.78
115 H Michigan 69-85 -16 -1 -0.67
118 A Northwestern 74-71 3 2 0.04
124 H Nebraska 75-81 -6 0 - -2.37
128 H UCLA 67-80 -13 -3 0.00
201 A Washington 75-66 9 0 + 2.29
204 H Oregon 73-76 -3 0 -1.69
208 H USC 62-70 -8 0 -1.87
211 A Wisconsin 92-60 32 1 0.89
217 A Rutgers 76-56 20 2 0.00
222 A Northwestern 92-65 27 2 0.04
226 H Iowa 78-82 -4 -1 -0.75
301 H Minnesota 73-78 -5 -1 -1.45
304 A Wisconsin 82-70 12 1 0.89
305 A Michigan St 71-69 2 -1 + 2.50
306 H Iowa 58-64 -6 -1 -0.75
321 A Colorado 66-57 9 0 1.69
323 H Vanderbilt 57-75 -18 -1 -0.66
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 H Oregon State 59-64 -5 1 - -3.42 124 H Nebraska 75-81 -6 0 - -2.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 101 A Maryland 73-70 3 -1 + 2.53 201 A Washington 75-66 9 0 + 2.29 305 A Michigan St 71-69 2 -1 + 2.50 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 91-67 -6.59 4.37 0.01 0.92 8.06
3 A Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 75-65 -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.92 10.03
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 59-64 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 0.92 -2.12
3 A Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 84-64 -4.22 6.74 0.01 0.92 12.41
3 A Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 86-63 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.92 10.85
3 A We Kentucky ( 8-21, 92.8) 70-41 -7.15 3.81 0.01 0.92 7.03
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 90-41 -9.12 1.84 0.01 0.92 3.41
3 A Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 78-57 -3.81 7.15 0.01 0.92 13.16
3 A Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 70-62 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.92 12.32
3 A No Texas (18-14, 94.6) 81-69 -5.25 5.71 0.01 0.92 10.52
3 A Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 86-43 -7.97 2.99 0.01 0.92 5.51
3 A Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 83-73 -4.34 6.62 0.01 0.92 12.19
3 A Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 73-70 -2.68 8.28 0.01 0.92 15.25
3 H Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 75-81 -2.71 8.25 -0.01 0.92 -1.25
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 69-78 -1.98 8.98 -0.01 0.92 -0.91
3 A Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 92-76 -4.43 6.53 0.01 0.92 12.04
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 69-85 -1.86 9.10 -0.01 0.92 -0.86
3 A Northwestern ( 8-21, 94.7) 74-71 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.92 10.68
3 H Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 75-81 -3.55 7.41 -0.01 0.92 -1.64
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 67-80 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.92 -0.00
3 A Washington (23-11, 97.0) 75-66 -2.91 8.05 0.01 0.92 14.82
3 H Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 73-76 -2.88 8.08 -0.01 0.92 -1.33
3 H USC (18-14, 96.8) 62-70 -3.05 7.91 -0.01 0.92 -1.41
3 A Wisconsin (16-17, 95.6) 92-60 -4.32 6.64 0.01 0.92 12.23
3 A Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 76-56 -5.35 5.61 0.01 0.92 10.34
3 A Northwestern ( 8-21, 94.7) 92-65 -5.16 5.80 0.01 0.92 10.68
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 78-82 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 0.92 -0.89
3 H Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 73-78 -2.64 8.32 -0.01 0.92 -1.22
3 A Wisconsin (16-17, 95.6) 82-70 -4.32 6.64 0.01 0.92 12.23
3 A Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 71-69 -2.71 8.25 0.01 0.92 15.20
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 58-64 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 0.92 -0.89
3 A Colorado (23-12, 96.4) 66-57 -3.52 7.44 0.01 0.92 13.70
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 57-75 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.92 -0.85
------
219.28
|
winning pts = 232.6648 losing points = -13.3875
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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